Showing posts with label Why we buy?. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Why we buy?. Show all posts

Wednesday 24 June 2009

Always buy, hold or sell based on fundamentals.

To summarise:

We should buy, hold or sell based on fundamentals.

The basic premise behind our "buy" strategy - over the long term, investors gravitate toward stocks with strong fundamentals because those are the strongest companies, and that causes those stocks' prices to rise over time.

If you're buying stocks based on the above basic premise, that is, they have strong fundamentals, and over the long term, stocks with strong fundamentals tend to rise, you should hold on to a stock as long as it continues to meet the fundamental criteria you used to select it.

It's time to sell and replace the stock with another stock that does meet your criteria (and one that thereby has better prospects of rising in value), if the stock's fundamentals have slipped, so that it no longer meets the criteria you used to buy it. Also consider selling, if the stock is grossly overpriced, not justifiable even by the good fundamentals of the company.


Price should always be related to the fundamentals.

We should NOT buy, hold or sell based solely on the price is low or high or rising or falling


Related posts:
Why we buy? Because of the fundamentals
Why we hold? Because of the fundamentals
Why we sell? Because of the fundamentals
Always buy, hold or sell based on fundamentals.


Because the goal is always:
  • look closely at what to hold and what to sell now
  • to maximize return on capital and
  • to take advantage of the time value of money,
One must look forward at future prospects rather than backward at now-irrelevant old (higher or lower) prices.

Also read:
To guide you on holding or selling a stock in your portfolio.
To guide you in re-balancing and re-weighting of your portfolio.
Weathering a Panic
Stock Selling Guide - Gain/Loss Worksheet (Part 1 of 5)
Stock Sale Considerations (Part 2 of 5)
Evaluating Changing Fundamentals (Part 3 of 5)
To Sell or to Hold Checklist (Part 4 of 5)
Selling and Holding mistakes Checklist (Part 5 of 5)

Why we buy? Because of the fundamentals

Let us examine the basic premise behind our "buy" strategy - over the long term, investors gravitate toward stocks with strong fundamentals because those are the strongest companies, and that causes those stocks' prices to rise over time.

We buy because of the fundamentals - not just because the price is high or low or rising or falling.

Remember, the only way price comes into the decision to buy is in how it relates to the stock's fundamentals - that is, in the form of such variables as the price-sales ratio or price-earnings ratio.

When you're building your portfolio, then, you want to pick the stocks that have the best fundamentals - because (sorry to repeat) over the long run, investors gravitate toward stocks with strong fundamentals because they are the strongest companies.



Related posts:
Why we buy? Because of the fundamentals
Why we hold? Because of the fundamentals
Why we sell? Because of the fundamentals
Always buy, hold or sell based on fundamentals.

Wednesday 6 August 2008

My strategies for buying and selling (KISS version)

Strategies for buying and selling.

For buying (ABC):

A.  Assess Quality, Management and Valuation (QMV)

B.  Buy good quality stocks.

C.  Buy these stocks at a discount (Margin of Safety)

(If you select your stocks carefully, often one can hold them for long periods. The idea is to allow compounding over the long period to work in your favour.)


For selling (1,2,3,4):

1. If you need cash for emergency. (But then, hopefully, you will have separate money for such emergencies. The cash invested into the market should be separate.)

2. You will need to sell URGENTLY (QUICKLY) if there is something wrong with the fundamental of your stock (example: fraudulent accounting, etc). At other instances, you do have the time to SELL at leisure.

3. Your stock has gone up too high. By your assessment, at that price the upside return is less, but the downside risk is more, then you may wish to sell to REINVEST INTO ANOTHER STOCK WITH MORE FAVOURABLE UPSIDE REWARD/DOWNSIDE RISK RATIO.

4. On occasions, you have identified a very good BARGAIN, you may wish to sell some of your stocks to REINVEST into these stocks to capture a higher upside/downside reward risk ratio that these stocks offer.

Defensive Portfolio Management = 2.
This is to prevent harm to the portfolio.
Urgent attention needed.

Offensive Portfolio Management = 3 & 4.
This is to optimise returns of the portfolio.
Have the time to sell at leisure.


BB
"Investing should be fun and not a game."


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QMV
Quality = Points 1 to 6
Management = Point 7
Valuation = Point 8

Nine Steps to Value Investing




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Additional Related Notes:

Why do you Sell and When?

Reducing serious loss

When the fundamentals of a stock have deteriorated, sell to protect your portfolio. This decision should be make quickly based on the facts and situations, in order to keep your losses small.


Taking profit

Profit should be realised from sales of stocks in the following situations:
(I) when the stock is obviously overpriced, or
(II) when the sale of the stock frees the capital to be reinvested into another stock with potentially better return.

Not taking profit in the above situations can harm your portfolio and compromise its returns. In other circumstances, let the winners run.

Underperforming stocks should also be sold early. Hanging onto underperforming stocks is costly too. There is the opportunity cost that the capital can be better employed for higher return. Also, hanging onto these lack-lustre stocks reduces the overall return of your portfolio.
http://myinvestingnotes.blogspot.com/2011/02/why-do-you-sell-and-when.html






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Related:

  • The first is when you need money to make an investment in an even better company at a better price, which occasionally happens. 
  • The second is when the company looks like it is going to lose it durable competitive advantage.  A questionable competitive advantage is not where you want to keep your money long-term. (An example:  Nokia's Cautionary Tale)
  • The third is during bull markets when the stock market, in an insane buying frenzy, sends the prices of these fantastic businesses through the ceiling.